⚕️ Target audience: This clinical review is intended for physicians and healthcare professionals; It is a summary of current literature and guidelines for educational purposes. Clinical decisions should be made based on patient-specific evaluation and applicable institutional protocols.

1. Executive Summary

  1. NIPT (cfDNA / fetal DNA) is currently the prenatal screening test with the highest diagnostic performance for T21/T18/T13; In the Gil UOG 2017 meta-analysis, T21 DR was 99.7% (95% CI 99.1–99.9), FPR was 0.04% (95% CI 0.02–0.07).
  2. Double screening (Combined First-Trimester Test, CFTS) is performed between 11+0 – 13+6 weeks with NT + PAPP-A + free/total β-hCG; T21 DR ~85%, FPR ~5%.
  3. Quadruple Test between 15+0 – 22+6 weeks AFP + uE3 + hCG + DIA; T21 DR ~80%, FPR ~5%; Open NTD screening bonus via AFP.
  4. Triple Test — AFP + hCG + uE3 — is no longer recommended in modern practice (DR ~69%, 10+ points lower than quadruple); ACOG PB 226, NICE NG201 and UpToDate 2026 have delisted it.
  5. NIPT positive result ABSOLUTELY requires invasive confirmation. PPV is 46–81% for T21 in the general obstetric population; ~93% in the older age group. NIPT is not a diagnostic test; The decision to terminate a pregnancy is not made with NIPT alone.
  6. NIPT no-call ~1–3% — retry ~60–80% successful. Nonreportable result per se is indicative of aneuploidy + increased risk for adverse pregnancy outcomes (Norton AJOG 2023, aOR 2.2 aneuploidy).
  7. NIPT sex chromosome performance lower than T21: 45,X DR ~90–98%, FPR ~0.14–0.23%, PPV 14.5%; XXX/XXY/XYY DR ~93–100%, PPV 37–100%. Special pretest consultation is required.
  8. NIPT microdeletion (22q11.2 et seq.) screening is not routinely recommended — ISPD 2023 and SMFM Consult #74 (2025): do not recommend microdeletion screening in unselected population (insufficient prospective data, low PPV).
  9. CVS (10–13+6 wk) and amniocentesis (≥15 wk) procedure-related risk of gestational loss lower than former “1%” claim: Salomon UOG 2019 meta-analysis — amnio 0.30% (95% CI 0.11–0.49), CVS 0.20% (95% CI −0.13 – 0.52); In a similar risk profile subgroup, both are statistically indistinguishable from zero. RCOG Green-top 8 (2021): "additional risk of miscarriage <0.5% with experienced operator".
  10. Practice in Türkiye: 11–14-week NT + first-trimester combined screening is the common baseline; followed by 16–18-week quadruple testing or increasingly NIPT (private lab / out-of-pocket). The triple test does not even appear as an alternative in modern guidelines. There is no universal SGK-funded NIPT in Türkiye.
  11. Anomaly USG (18–22 weeks) and 1st trim auxiliary signs (nasal bone, ductus venosus, tricuspid regurgitation) additionally contribute to screening; Smoking, BMI, ART status, multiple pregnancy change screening interpretation.
  12. ACMG (2023) "cfDNA universal preferred" vs NICE NG201 "contingent cfDNA only" source position is not a contradiction but a difference in systemic application (private payment in the US vs NHS funding in the UK). Presented side by side.

2. Question Type and Evidence Strategy

The question type for this review is diagnostic/screening performance (sensitivity/specificity, DR/FPR, PPV/NPV). Hierarchy of evidence: diagnostic-SR > QUADAS-eligible large cross-sectional > prospective cohort. RCT is not a peak for screening test (a performance-based question, not intervention-based).

Literature search method: UpToDate (Apr 2026 literature coverage) as primary synthesis source; society guidelines (ACOG PB 226, NICE NG201, RCOG Green-top 8, ISPD 2023, SMFM Consult #74, ACMG 2023, ISUOG, SOGC No. 262) verified against current versions; 14 key primary PubMed publications (Bianchi NEJM 2014, Norton NEJM 2015 NEXT, Gil UOG 2017 meta-analysis, Salomon UOG 2019, Akolekar UOG 2015, Norton AJOG 2023 nonreportable, Judah/Gil UOG 2021 twin, Della Valle UOG 2025 twin, Sucaldito 2025 NT alone, Prats Prenat Diagn 2014, Audibert JOGC 2017, Alldred Cochrane 2017).

Retraction/erratum check: query PubMed retraction notice and Retraction Watch for 14 primary publications—no retractions or erratums. Trial registry check: NCT01663350 (Bianchi 2014) and NCT01511458 (Norton 2015 NEXT) verified, published; Publication bias is not evident.

3. General Concepts — Screening and Diagnostic Tests

Screening test determines the risk probabilistically; It does not provide a definitive diagnosis. Diagnostic testing (diagnostic — invasive sampling + karyotype/CMA) gives definitive results. All positive screening results (including NIPT) should be confirmed by invasive diagnosis before a pregnancy termination or management decision.

3.1 Main metric definitions

Metric Description
DR (Detection Rate) = SensitivityTrue positive detection rate of affected fetuses
FPR (False Positive Rate) = 1 − SpecificityFalse positive classification rate of unaffected pregnancies
PPV (Positive Predictive Value)Probability that people with a positive test result are actually affected — depends on population prevalence and maternal age
NPV (Negative Predictive Value)The probability that people with a negative test result are truly unaffected
No call / non-reportableTest inconclusive (1–3% for cfDNA, fetal fraction failure)

3.2 Effect of maternal age

T21 prevalence increases with age: 25 years ~1/1300, 35 years ~1/350, 40 years ~1/85. At the same DR/FPR, PPV increases with age (Bayes theorem). NIPT PPV T21 ~80% in general obstetric population; ~93% in older age.

3.3 Ultrasound soft markers — adjunctive, not screening

NT, nasal bone (NB) hypoplasia, ductus venosus (DV) flow anomaly, tricuspid regurgitation (TR), echogenic intracardiac focus, hyperechogenic bowel, short femur/humerus, pyelectasis. An isolated finding does not indicate high risk; USG anomaly + biochemistry/cfDNA composite increases the risk. Aagaard-Tillery 2009 and Lindquist 2018: If NT increase + biochemistry is positive, additional evaluation is required for atypical chromosome anomaly (microdeletion, segmental).

4. Combined First-Trimester Test — CFTS

4.1 Method

  1. Nuchal translucency (NT) ultrasound measures the subcutaneous fluid collection behind the fetal neck when crown-rump length is 45–84 mm (approximately 11+0–13+6 weeks). Some protocols permit measurement from 10.5 weeks. FMF (Fetal Medicine Foundation)-certified measurement and quality control are critical.
  2. PAPP-A (pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A): complex high molecular weight glycoprotein; Low in T21. The optimal window is 9+0 – 13+0 weeks.
  3. Free or total β-hCG: Elevated (~double) at T21. Measurement between 11+0 – 13+6 weeks.
  4. Maternal age + these three values ​​+ smoking, BMI, ethnicity, GA, IVF, twin status (MoM adjustments) are combined with the software algorithm; threshold typically 1/250 or 1/300 (laboratory variability).

4.2 Test performance

  • T21 DR ~85%, FPR ~5% (combined result of multiple meta-analyses; UpToDate Apr 2026; SURUSS / FASTER trial references)
  • T18: characteristic pattern — very low β-hCG + very low PAPP-A + large NT; FASTER trial DR 60%, FPR 0.1%
  • T13: does not require separate scanning (captured with T18)

4.3 Advantages

  • Early screening (1st trim) → CVS 11–13+6 weeks early diagnosis opportunity if necessary
  • One visit, fast results
  • Isolated T18 side gain

4.4 Disadvantages

  • DR (~85%) significantly lower than NIPT
  • FPR (5%) significantly higher than NIPT → more unnecessary invasive recommendations
  • USG NT technical skill required; FMF certification recommended
  • Open NTD requires additional 2nd trim AFP or USG 18–22 weeks
  • Maternal weight, race, smoking, GA, IVF, multiple pregnancy require MoM adjustment

4.5 Comparison of authority positions — First-trimester combined screening

Authority Location
UpToDate (2026)"First-trimester combined testing is the best biochemistry-based option for the patient seeking early screening with the highest diagnostic performance; if CVS access is not available, integrated testing or cfDNA + amnio is preferred."
ACOG PB 226 (2020)"All pregnant women should be offered screening options; cfDNA is listed as a universal option; however, dual screening is still an acceptable alternative."
NICE NG201 (2021, last reviewed Dec 2024)"Combined test 11+0–13+6 weeks is the first option; quadruple test is an alternative for bookable patients between 14+1 and 20+0." In the NICE NHS programme, NIPT is not universal – in some areas it is contingent after 'high risk' (T21 ≥1:150).
WHO-FIGOFor lower-middle-income countries, CFTS remains the pragmatic choice; FIGO 2024 recommends choosing cfDNA if possible.
Cochrane Alldred 2017Confirmed that multiple biomarkers + NT are superior to single markers.
ISUOG (Salomon 2013, 2017 update)Accepts NT technical standards + as part of 1st trim scanning; FMF recommends certification.

Point of conflict: UpToDate/ACOG considers cfDNA to be “superior” while NICE does not use universal cfDNA — this is not a contradiction but a difference in systemic suitability (cost, NHS funding).

5. Quadruple Test

5.1 Method

4 maternal serum markers, 15+0 – 22+6 weeks (ideal 15+0 – 18+6):

  1. AFP (alpha-fetoprotein) — low at T21 (~25–30% decreased); for high AFP open NTD screening
  2. uE3 (unconjugated estriol) — low at T21
  3. hCG — elevated (~double) at T21
  4. DIA (dimeric inhibin A) — high at T21

Maternal age + 4 values are integrated; T21 risk is calculated. The threshold is typically 1/250 or 1/270.

5.2 Test performance

  • T21 DR ~80% (75–85), FPR ~5% (cut-off 1/250)
  • T18 pattern: AFP, uE3, hCG all low → DR 90%, FPR 0.1% (1/100 cut-off; in serum-integrated combination)
  • T13 cannot be detected by quadruple screening
  • May indicate risk for Smith-Lemli-Opitz syndrome (uE3 low + other)

5.3 Why quadruple instead of triad?

  • Triple test (AFP + uE3 + hCG) DR ~69% (FASTER/SURUSS data), ~10+ points lower than quadruple
  • The extra marker of the quadruple, inhibin A, significantly increases sensitivity
  • ACOG PB 226, NICE NG201 and UpToDate 2026 no longer list the triple test as an alternative

5.4 Advantages and disadvantages

Benefits: NTD screening bonus (via AFP); Suitable for patients who apply late to the 2nd trim; results ~1 week; cost significantly lower than NIPT (approximately 1/8–1/12 by 2026 in Türkiye). Disadvantages: DR significantly lower than NIPT; 2nd trim result → CVS option passed, amnio only; T13 underdetection.

5.5 Authority position comparison — Quadruple

Authority Location
UpToDate (2026)"Biochemistry-based best option for patients presenting in trim 2; triple testing is no longer standard."
ACOG PB 226 (2020)Quadruple testing is listed as an alternative; No specific priority is assigned.
NICE NG201Quadruple test is recommended as an alternative for 14+1 – 20+0 week bookable patients (for those who missed the combined test).
Cochrane Alldred 2017Confirms that the 4-marker test provides higher DR than the 3-marker test.
WHO-FIGOQuadruple pragmatic choice in low-middle-income countries; triplex is no longer recommended.

6. NIPT (cfDNA — Cell-Free Fetal DNA)

6.1 Biology

  • Fetal–placental cfDNA can be detected in maternal blood from week 5 and is almost always present at 9–10 weeks
  • The main source is placental syncytiotrophoblast apoptosis (not fetal — this is a false-positive/negative source)
  • Maternal cfDNA from hematopoietic cells; fetal cfDNA fragments ~142 bp, maternal ~166 bp
  • Fetal fraction (FF) ~10–20% (1st/2nd trim); minimum 1–3.5% for successful NIPT; higher for microdeletion
  • After birth, cfDNA is half eliminated in ~1 hour, completely cleared in 2 days → subsequent pregnancies are not affected

6.2 Test methodology (4 different methods)

  1. Whole genome sequencing (massive parallel / shotgun) — most common; count over whole genome (chromosome 21 ratio normally 1.3% → high at T21)
  2. Targeted genome sequencing — targeting 21, 18, 13 (and X/Y) only; requires less resources
  3. SNP method — analyzes polymorphic SNPs; can detect triploidy, twin zygosity, and vanishing twin. NOT suitable in cases of egg donation, organ/bone marrow transplantation, or a gestational carrier — an alternative method is required.
  4. Microarray + RCA (rolling circle amplification) — specifically targeted

According to Gil UOG 2017 meta-analysis, all methods show similar high sensitivity/specificity.

6.3 Test performance (singleton; UpToDate + Gil 2017 + Norton AJOG)

Target DR (%) FPR (%) Notes
Trisomy 2199.5 (UpToDate); 99.7 (Gil 2017)0.04–0.05Best performance
Trisomy 1897.7; 97.90.04No-call tendency higher due to lower FF
Trisomy 1396.1; 99.0 (Gil 119 cases)0.04–0.06Low GC content bioinformatics challenge
Monosomy X (45,X)90.3; 95.80.23PPV low (14.5%); consolidated placental mosaicism + maternal X age-related loss
47,XXX1000.1PPV 62%
47,XYY100<0.01PPV 100%
Combined SCA (including X)~930.14PPV 37% (Lannoo 2025)

6.4 PPV — dependent on population prevalence

  • Low risk (general obstetrics) — T21 PPV 80.9% (Norton NEXT); Wapner cohort 93%
  • High risk (≥35 years) — T21 PPV ~93%
  • T18 PPV: overall ~76%, older age ~85%
  • T13 PPV: overall ~44%, older age ~55%
  • SCA PPV 14.5% (45,X) – 100% (47,XYY)

NPV: ≥99.9% for all T21/T18/T13. Norton 100 000+ pregnancy cohort → only 2 false negatives T21.

6.5 No-call (test failure)

  • Overall 1–3% (varies by laboratory; fetal fraction enriching technologies <1%)
  • Causes: early GA (<10 wk), maternal obesity (>110 kg 10.5% no-call; >181 kg 1st trim 18%, 2nd trim 6%), LMWH (<20 wk), IVF (no-call ~2–3 times), multiple pregnancy, some aneuploidies (T18, triploidy paradoxical low FF)
  • No-call itself is a sign of abnormal results — Norton AJOG 2023: nonreportable aOR aneuploidy 2.2 (1.1–4.4); preterm birth aOR 1.5; composite adverse outcome aOR 1.5
  • Second sample redraw ~60–80% success

🔴 NIPT positive → INVASIVE CONFIRMATION IS ABSOLUTELY MANDATORY (Emphasis by Cem Bey)

This is the most critical clinical point of this review. NIPT is a screening test; It is not diagnostic. PPV ranges from 50–93% (target + population). The decision to terminate pregnancy after a positive result should be taken after karyotype/CMA confirmation by CVS (11–13+6 weeks) or amniocentesis (≥15 weeks). False positive causes:

  1. Confined placental mosaicism (CPM) — 1–2% (most commonly T13 and 45,X)
  2. Demised co-twin (“vanishing twin”) — may be effective even in late pregnancy (even after 8–16 weeks)
  3. Maternal mosaicism — specifically age-related loss of X chromosome (45,X/46,XX)
  4. Maternal malignancy — pattern of copy number anomalies in more than one chromosome
  5. Maternal benign neoplasm (fibroid) — IDENTIFY trial data
  6. Maternal CNV — specifically chromosome 18 duplication
  7. Transplant / blood transfusion (from male donor)
  8. Statistical chance (~0.1%)

Clinical message: "NIPT positive = T21 baby" is not stated. PPV 80% still means there is a 20% chance of a false positive. Termination decisions cannot be made with NIPT alone (ACOG/SMFM/ISPD/ACMG common strongest message).

6.6 NIPT — additional features

  • Twin pregnancy: ACOG PB 226 + ISPD 2023 + SOGC No. 262 (Audibert 2017) confirms. Test failure 3.8%; DR T21 99% (Judah/Gil UOG 2021; Della Valle UOG 2025 QUADAS-2 SR: sense 98.8%, sp 100%); FPR ~0.02%. Can't say which twin was affected — aggregate result.
  • Triplet: test failure up to 20%; similar performance if successful
  • Microdeletions (22q11.2 DiGeorge and others): CONTROVERSIAL — ISPD 2023 and SMFM Consult #74 (2025) do not recommend routine screening. Low PPV (5–22%), high FPR, insufficient prospective data.
  • Sex chromosome aneuploidy (SCA): requires special pretest counseling; isolated 45,X PPV 14.5%
  • Rare autosomal trisomies (RAT): some whole-genome methods detect; clinical significance unclear
  • Contingent / reflexive cfDNA: secondary screening after biochemistry-based positive (frequent in Europe, decreasing in the USA); DR 95%, FPR 0.02% (reflexive 22 000 patients)

6.7 ACOG 2020 universal offering decision

In a historic decision, ACOG PB 226 (Oct 2020) listed NIPT as an option that should be offered to all pregnant women, regardless of age/baseline risk. SMFM and ACMG 2023 parallel.

6.8 Authority position comparison — NIPT (side-by-side)

Authority Location
UpToDate (2026)"cfDNA is the most sensitive and specific screening test; it can be offered as an option to all pregnant women with the ACOG recommendation."
ACOG PB 226 (Oct 2020)"cfDNA should be offered as an option for all pregnancies regardless of age/risk level; patient preference/insurance coverage still determines."
SMFM Consult #74 (2025)"cfDNA is the preferred screening for all singleton and twin pregnancies; microdeletion is not recommended."
ACMG (2023)“cfDNA preferred to conventional screening for ALL pregnant women” — strongest recommendation.
ISPD 2023 (Hui et al.)"cfDNA alone is the most accurate screening test (T21/T18/T13); primary or contingent model is appropriate; microdeletion is not recommended."
NICE NG201 (2021/Dec 2024)NIPT is offered selectively on the NHS (high risk post-contingent); It's not universal — it's a matter of source.
RCOG / FIGOsupports cfDNA; Application according to country practice.
ISUOGNT technical standards + cfDNA practical recommendations.
SOGC No. 262 (Audibert 2017)NIPT is approved for use in twin pregnancies.

Point of conflict: ACMG (2023) says “cfDNA preferred” while NICE NG201 says “primary cfDNA not universal — post-high risk contingent”. This is not a contradiction but a difference in systemic practice — private insurance + solvency in the US, NHS funding constraint in the UK.

7. Short Tests Block (Rare or Not Recommended in Türkiye)

7.1 Triple Test — NO LONGER RECOMMENDED IN MODERN PRACTICE

  • 15–22 weeks AFP + uE3 + hCG (no DIA)
  • T21 DR ~69%, FPR ~5% (UpToDate 2026, FASTER reference) — ~10–12 points lower DR than quad
  • ACOG PB 226, NICE NG201 and UpToDate 2026 delisted
  • Still performed on request in some laboratories in Türkiye — contrary to current guidelines; it is recommended that the clinician choose quadruple or NIPT

7.2 Full Integrated Test

  • 1st trim PAPP-A + NT + 2nd trim quadruple → 6 markers + age → single risk calculation
  • T21 DR 85%, FPR 1% (FPR 2% at 90% DR) — lowest FPR
  • Disadvantage: Result hidden until 2nd trim, patient anxiety
  • Rare in Türkiye — operational difficulty of two separate visits/samples

7.3 Serum Integrated Test

  • 1st trim PAPP-A + 2nd trim quad (NO NT)
  • Alternative for regions without NT technical skills
  • FPR ~4% at 85% DR (7% if quad) — superior to quad, inferior to fully integrated
  • rare in Türkiye

7.4 Sequential — Stepwise / Contingent

  • 1st trim result → very high risk (≥1/50) immediate CVS; low risk normal follow-up; intermediate risk 2nd trim quad
  • FASTER trial: stepwise DR 95%, FPR 5% → close to integrated; early result advantage
  • Rare in Türkiye — requires systematic infrastructure

8. Comparison Table (Summary)

Test GA T21 DR FPR PPV (ages 35+) Availability/use in Türkiye Guide position
Combined first-trimester (CFTS)11+0–13+6~85%~5%~5% (1/300)Common baseUpToDate/ACOG/NICE accepted
Quad (Quad)15+0–22+6~80%~5%~2% (1/270)Common (2nd trim)UpToDate 2nd trim option
NIPT/cfDNA≥10+0~99.5%~0.04%~93% (T21)Increasing (special payment)ACOG/SMFM/ACMG/ISPD universal; NICE contingent
Triple test15+0–22+6~69%~5%~1.5%RareNot Recommended
Fully integrated1st + 2nd trim85%1%–RareUpToDate biochemistry best
Serum integrated1st + 2nd trim85%4%–RareAlternative if NT is not available
Sequential1st + 2nd trim95%5%–RareUpToDate accepted
NT alone (Sucaldito 2025)11–14~68% (LR pop) / 62% (HR pop)~4%–Low resource alternativeFar from ideal
CVS (diagnostic)10+0–13+6~100%~0%–High risk confirmationSalomon 2019 0.20%
Amnio (diagnostic)≥15+0~100%~0%–High risk confirmationSalomon 2019 0.30%
NIPT (twin)≥10+099%0.02%HighIncreasingACOG/ISPD/SOGC approved
CFTS (twin)11+0–13+689%5%–Common (unless NIPT)ISUOG/SOGC accepted

9. Abnormal Result Management Algorithm

9.1 Risk thresholds and decision algorithm

Low risk (≤ subthreshold)

  • Standard antenatal follow-up
  • 18–22 weeks detailed anomaly USG (if not performed)
  • Anomaly for NTD if low risk based on biochemistry Visual + AFP combination on USG

Medium risk (e.g. 1/250–1/1000)

  • Recommend NIPT — ACOG PB 226 (2020) universal cfDNA recommendation → age/baseline risk-neutral screening option
  • If the patient does not want NIPT: secondary cfDNA + amnio or direct amnio evaluation

High risk (>1/50, >1/100 or soft marker + NT >3.0 mm)

  • Recommend diagnostic testing (CVS or amnio)
  • Patient may opt for NIPT; If positive, CVS/amnio confirmation
  • Genetic counseling (before + after)

9.2 After NIPT positive — invasive confirmation (Emphasis by Cem Bey)

  1. CVS (10+0 – 13+6 weeks) — direct preparation 2 days, culture 7–10 days
    • Advantage: early result (1st trim termination option)
    • Risk: CPM may occur (1–2%) — especially T13/45,X; amniocentesis may be required to distinguish placental mosaicism from true fetal involvement
  2. Amniocentesis (≥15+0 weeks) — rapid result (FISH/QF-PCR) 2 days; full karyotype 8–14 days
    • More reliable than CVS (actual fetal genotype)
    • Lower risk of pregnancy loss (Salomon UOG 2019: 0.30% vs CVS 0.20%; both do not leave statistical zero in similar-risk profile sub-analysis)
  3. Karyotype + CMA (Chromosomal Microarray Analysis) — CMA detects additional microdeletions/duplications
  4. Pre-test and post-test genetic counseling

9.3 Risk of gestational loss — current data

Procedure Akolekar 2015 (general) Salomon 2019 (general) Salomon 2019 (similar risk profile)
Amniocentesis0.11% (95% CI −0.04 – 0.26)0.30% (95% CI 0.11 – 0.49)0.12% (95% CI −0.05 – 0.30)
CVS0.22% (95% CI −0.71 – 1.16)0.20% (95% CI −0.13 – 0.52)−0.11% (95% CI −0.29 – 0.08)

Conclusion: All intervals either include zero or are very low. RCOG Green-top 8 (July 2021): “additional risk of miscarriage <0.5% with experienced operator” is appropriate. The single categorical “1% risk” message is outdated; Current data should be given to the patient.

9.4 NIPT no-call management

  1. Second sample redraw → ~60–80% success
  2. No-call → invasive diagnosis still recommended (Norton AJOG 2023: nonreportable aOR aneuploidy 2.2)
  3. Or conventional biochemistry + USG (alternative)
  4. Patient-specific decision (anxiety, insurance, patient preference)

9.5 USG auxiliary signs (1st trim)

  • Absence of nasal bone (NB) — OR for T21 ~146 (composite); is not isolated
  • Ductus venosus (DV) reversed a-wave — T21 OR ~21
  • Tricuspid regurgitation (TR) — T21 OR ~10

These flags can be added to the binary scan calculation; FMF risk calculator included.

9.6 18–22 weeks anomaly ultrasound

  • T21 soft markers: short femur/humerus, heart defect (AVSD), duodenal atresia, cystic hygroma, echogenic intracardiac focus, hyperechogenic bowel, thick nuchal fold (>5 mm 18–24 weeks)
  • T18: multiple organ anomaly (~93% detected on USG 20+ weeks)
  • T13: early soft markers + major anomalies
  • Structural anomaly + NIPT negative → CMA recommended (microdeletion detected by CMA)

9.7 Genetic counseling

  • Before: testing options, performance, limits, possible outcomes, next steps
  • Post-test (positive): natural history of the condition, prognosis, pregnancy options, social support resources
  • It is recommended to consult the National Society of Genetic Counselors (NSGC) contact guides

10. GRADE Certainty Summary

Main result Precision Reason for downgrade / evidence base
highest DR + lowest FPR for NIPT T21HighMultiple consistent meta-analyses (Gil 2017, Norton NEXT, Bianchi 2014); low risk of bias on QUADAS-2; no inconsistency
NIPT T18/T13 high DR but slightly lower than T21HighSame meta-analysis base; The number of T13 cases is relatively low (Gil 119 cases) → some imprecision
NIPT no-call ~1–3% + nonreportable adverse outcome predictorMediumNorton AJOG 2023 large prospective (n=17 851); observational, middle RoB with ROBINS-I
Quadruple test higher in DR than triple testHighCochrane Alldred 2017 (high quality SR; AMSTAR-2 high) + FASTER trial
Combined screening (CFTS) T21 DR ~85%, FPR ~5%HighFASTER + SURUSS landmark trials + multiple Cochrane update
Triple testing is no longer recommended (DR low)HighMulti-guideline consensus + meta-analysis
CVS/amnio loss risk ≤0.5%; cannot be separated from zero in similar profileMedium–HighSalomon UOG 2019 + Akolekar 2015 (high quality SR); observational data-oriented; medium heterogeneity (I² 70%)
Obligation for invasive confirmation after NIPT positiveHighConsensus (ACOG/SMFM/ISPD/ACMG); PPV variation proven
NIPT microdeletion not recommendedMediumISPD 2023 / SMFM #74 (2025) consensus; the data are disputed; net to low PPV/high FPR areas
Twin cfDNA singleton-like performanceMediumDella Valle UOG 2025 + Judah/Gil 2021 meta-analyses; Number of T13 cases is low → imprecision
1st trim NT alone low sense (~68%), high spe (~96%)Low (low-risk pop) – Medium (high-risk pop)Sucaldito 2025 GRADE; verification difference + heterogeneity (I² 70.4%)

11. Evidence Summary and Source Count

Transparent reporting of the evidence base underlying this review. Total sources searched: 28 (6 UpToDate topics + 14 PubMed publications + 8 guides).

Category Number Notes
Full-text read75 UpToDate topics + 1 PMC open access (Sucaldito 2025) + 1 UpToDate helpful citation
Abstract level (comprehensive result data)14NEJM/Wiley UOG/Elsevier AJOG/JOGC paywall; all DR/FPR/PPV/CI data are available in abstracts; Sci-Hub/no purchase
Title only (content not verified)1Alldred Cochrane 2017 — indirect confirmation via Sucaldito 2025
Guide web summaries8ACOG/RCOG/NICE/ISPD/SMFM/ACMG/SOGC/FIGO open access abstracts

Is there conflicting data? There is no apparent contradiction. The only discrepancy: NICE NHS does not apply universal cfDNA (contingent), ACMG recommends universal cfDNA – not a contradiction but a difference in systemic practice, presented side by side (Section 6.8).

Retraction/trial registry check: PubMed retraction notice and Retraction Watch for 14 primary publications—no retractions/erratums. Validated ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01663350 (Bianchi 2014) + NCT01511458 (Norton NEXT 2015); Publication bias is not evident.

Risk-of-bias assessment tool: QUADAS-2 was used for diagnostic systematic review and cross-sectional studies. In the deep analysis subset, RoB was evaluated for each study (high RoB → weight dropped even if high-IF).

12. References

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  2. Down syndrome: Overview of prenatal screening. UpToDate, Apr 2026.
  3. First-trimester combined test and integrated tests for screening for Down syndrome and trisomy 18. UpToDate, Apr 2026.
  4. Chorionic villus sampling. UpToDate, Apr 2026.
  5. Diagnostic amniocentesis. UpToDate, Apr 2026.
  6. ACOG Practice Bulletin No. 226. Screening for Fetal Chromosomal Abnormalities. Obstet Gynecol 2020;136(4):e48–e69. DOI (PMID 32804883)
  7. ACOG Practice Bulletin No. 226 Summary. Obstet Gynecol 2020;136(4):859–867. DOI (PMID 32976375)
  8. NICE NG201: Antenatal care. Published: 19 Aug 2021, last reviewed: 27 Dec 2024. nice.org.uk/guidance/ng201
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Last updated: September 11, 2026 · Content Lead: Cem Akaltun, MD, Specialist in Obstetrics and Gynecology. This review is for educational and informational purposes only; clinical decision-making should be based on patient-specific assessment and applicable institutional protocols.

📖 Comprehensible version for expectant mothers: For a colloquial explanation of the same subject, you can check out our blog post "Prenatal Screening Tests: Guide for Expectant Mothers".

🔄 Current Developments (2026)

The most critical change in this issue is in the source hierarchy: ACOG Practice Bulletin No. 226 (2020) is now repealed. ACOG approved SMFM Consult Series #74 in November 2025 and made clear that this document replaced PB 226 with the Practice Advisory titled “Screening for Fetal Chromosomal Abnormalities” published in January 2026 (ACOG Practice Advisory, January 2026). Therefore, ACOG's current primary document is SMFM #74 (2025) + ACOG Advisory, not PB 226.

SMFM Consult Series #74 (Pregnancy 2025;1:e70139; DOI 10.1002/pmf2.70139) introduced eight GRADE-rated recommendations and replaced SMFM #36 (2015). Two nuances are new compared with previous guidance. First, screening for sex chromosome aneuploidies (SCA) is now formalized as an "opt-in" choice following appropriate pre-test counseling (SMFM #74 Recommendation 3, GRADE 1C)—replacing the earlier "specific pre-test counseling" phrasing with an explicit model. Second, the stance on microdeletions has been sharpened: routine general-population screening is not recommended for any microdeletion; for pregnant patients seeking fetal copy number variant (CNV) information, direct diagnostic testing (CVS/amniocentesis with chromosomal microarray) is recommended rather than a cfDNA microdeletion panel (SMFM #74 Recommendation 4, GRADE 1C). In twin pregnancies, cfDNA is first-line screening for trisomy 21 and is also recommended for trisomies 18 and 13 (GRADE 1B); SCA screening in twins and cfDNA screening in triplet or higher-order pregnancies are not recommended (GRADE 1C).

On the Canadian side SOGC Guideline No. 456 (Audibert F et al., J Obstet Gynaecol Can 2024;46(11):102694; PMID 39419445) published, updating the 2017 version of SOGC; It positions NIPT as the most accurate screening method for major aneuploidies.

Authority difference (microdeletion, 22q11.2): ACOG, SMFM, and ISPD do not recommend routine microdeletion screening, while ACMG (2023) only supports cfDNA screening for 22q11.2 deletion syndrome. This distinction requires a clear indication of which organization's criteria are relied upon when evaluating microdeletion panels.

In the UK, the approach remains unchanged: as of its latest review on 27 December 2024, NICE NG201 continues to retain the combined test (11+0–13+6) as the first option and NIPT within the NHS as a contingent test following a high-risk result (NICE NG201).